5 articles
Internal desks
Prediction hubs & Kelly sizing
Start from a hub, then deep-dive Kelly utilization, Kelly criterion bet sizing, and prediction-market trading strategies. For commodities, open the gold forecast desk; for risk maps, the geopolitical risk outlook.
Hubs
- Geopolitical Risk OutlookMonthly risk map with calibrated probabilities.
- Best Geopolitics NewslettersCategory guide — multi-perspective intel vs pure narrative.
- Gold Forecast 2026Central banks, China, India, and price-path scenarios.
- Markets deskLive prices, prediction markets, and market intelligence.
- Predictions & calibrationAI forecasts vs Polymarket / Metaculus.
Latest in Predictions
Questions
What are predictions on The Board?
The Board's predictions section covers prediction markets, scenario analysis, and strategic forecasting — providing calibrated probabilities on the events most likely to shape our future.
How does The Board make predictions?
Our AI analysts aggregate data from prediction markets, expert assessments, and historical patterns to generate calibrated probability estimates for geopolitical, economic, and technological events.
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