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Live asset prices, prediction markets, and AI-powered geopolitical risk assessment. Size positions with Kelly utilization and the Kelly criterion, or open the Gold Forecast hub →

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Prediction-market edge dies on position size. Read Kelly utilization & trading strategies, then branch into the risk outlook or live calibration tracker.

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Kelly & prediction markets

Live Prices

6 instruments
CL=FCrude Oil
$91.48
0.00%
WTI Oil
GC=FSpot Gold
$4,476.60
+1.06%
Gold
^GSPCUS Equities
$7,718.60
+0.68%
S&P 500
^VIXVolatility Index
$14.53
+1.47%
VIX
BTCCrypto
$79,877.00
+0.52%
Bitcoin
ETHCrypto
$2,503.77
+2.32%
Ethereum

Yahoo Finance · CoinGecko · Updated every 5 min · Not financial advice

Top Prediction Markets

20 active markets
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $83.5M0 bettorsEnds Jun 1, 2026
0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $64.9M0 bettorsEnds Jan 1, 2027
14%
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $55.9M0 bettorsEnds Jun 1, 2026
1%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $54.8M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $54.4M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $52.7M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
1%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $50.4M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $48.7M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $44.7M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $44.4M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $44.2M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $44.0M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $43.8M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $43.5M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $43.4M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $43.3M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $42.8M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $42.8M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $42.4M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $41.4M0 bettorsEnds Jun 1, 2026
0%

Browse by Domain

8 domains
geopolitics176 markets
0%Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
14%Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1%Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
0%Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+172 more markets
crypto10 markets
7%Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
8%Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
19%Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
92%Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs
+6 more markets
economics6 markets
0%Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
50%Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
50%Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
1%Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
+2 more markets
health4 markets
36%Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic
100%Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
0%Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
100%Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina
ai1 market
3%Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
policy1 market
14%Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
tech1 market
28%In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
science1 market
6%Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Recently Resolved

Last 10 resolved
YES
Set 1 Winner: Potenza vs Montes
NO
Set 2 Winner: Potenza vs Montes
YES
Luca Potenza vs. Inaki Montes: Total Sets O/U 2.5
YES
Potenza vs. Montes: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
NO
Potenza vs. Montes: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
YES
Potenza vs. Montes: Match O/U 21.5
NO
Set Handicap: Potenza (-1.5) vs Montes (+1.5)
YES
Potenza vs. Montes: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
NO
Potenza vs. Montes: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
YES
Potenza vs. Montes: Match O/U 22.5

Market data is sourced from public APIs and third-party prediction platforms. Prices and probabilities are indicative only and are not financial advice.