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Live asset prices, prediction markets, and AI-powered geopolitical risk assessment. Size positions with Kelly utilization and the Kelly criterion, or open the Gold Forecast hub →

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Prediction-market edge dies on position size. Read Kelly utilization & trading strategies, then branch into the risk outlook or live calibration tracker.

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Kelly & prediction markets

Live Prices

6 instruments
CL=FCrude Oil
$91.11
-1.90%
WTI Oil
GC=FSpot Gold
$4,162.30
-0.95%
Gold
^GSPCUS Equities
$7,722.72
+0.93%
S&P 500
^VIXVolatility Index
$15.31
-6.59%
VIX
BTCCrypto
$84,849.00
+0.39%
Bitcoin
ETHCrypto
$2,692.33
+0.81%
Ethereum

Yahoo Finance · CoinGecko · Updated every 5 min · Not financial advice

Top Prediction Markets

20 active markets
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $83.5M0 bettorsEnds Jun 2, 2026
0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $71.3M0 bettorsEnds Jan 1, 2027
17%
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $55.9M0 bettorsEnds Jun 2, 2026
1%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $54.9M0 bettorsEnds Nov 8, 2028
0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $54.4M0 bettorsEnds Nov 8, 2028
0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $52.8M0 bettorsEnds Nov 8, 2028
1%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $50.6M0 bettorsEnds Nov 8, 2028
1%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $48.9M0 bettorsEnds Nov 8, 2028
0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $44.8M0 bettorsEnds Nov 8, 2028
0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $44.6M0 bettorsEnds Nov 8, 2028
0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $44.4M0 bettorsEnds Nov 8, 2028
0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $44.2M0 bettorsEnds Nov 8, 2028
0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $44.2M0 bettorsEnds Nov 8, 2028
0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $43.7M0 bettorsEnds Nov 8, 2028
0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $43.5M0 bettorsEnds Nov 8, 2028
0%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $43.5M0 bettorsEnds Nov 8, 2028
0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $43.3M0 bettorsEnds Jan 1, 2027
2%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $42.9M0 bettorsEnds Nov 8, 2028
0%
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $42.9M0 bettorsEnds Nov 8, 2028
0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $42.8M0 bettorsEnds Nov 8, 2028
0%

Browse by Domain

8 domains
geopolitics178 markets
0%Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
17%Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1%Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
0%Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+174 more markets
crypto10 markets
3%Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4%Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
9%Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
1%Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
+6 more markets
health5 markets
36%Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic
100%Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
0%Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
34%US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
+1 more markets
economics3 markets
100%Fed rate hike in 2026?
83%Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
18%Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
policy1 market
5%Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
ai1 market
3%Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
tech1 market
48%In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
science1 market
7%Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Recently Resolved

Last 10 resolved
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Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner
YES
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)
NO
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
YES
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs fnatic (+6.5)
NO
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
NO
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs fnatic (+9.5)
YES
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NO
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YES
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5
NO
Columbus: Completed Match: Dylan Dietrich vs Andres Andrade

Market data is sourced from public APIs and third-party prediction platforms. Prices and probabilities are indicative only and are not financial advice.