Home/Markets
Market Intelligence

Markets

Live asset prices, prediction markets, and AI-powered geopolitical risk assessment. Size positions with Kelly utilization and the Kelly criterion, or open the Gold Forecast hub →

Internal desks

From markets to hubs & Kelly sizing

Prediction-market edge dies on position size. Read Kelly utilization & trading strategies, then branch into the risk outlook or live calibration tracker.

Hubs

Kelly & prediction markets

Live Prices

6 instruments
CL=FCrude Oil
$82.75
-2.66%
WTI Oil
GC=FSpot Gold
$4,673.00
+0.69%
Gold
^GSPCUS Equities
$7,672.67
-0.02%
S&P 500
^VIXVolatility Index
$15.87
+0.13%
VIX
BTCCrypto
$78,922.00
-0.14%
Bitcoin
ETHCrypto
$2,468.98
-1.39%
Ethereum

Yahoo Finance · CoinGecko · Updated every 5 min · Not financial advice

Top Prediction Markets

20 active markets
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $83.4M0 bettorsEnds Jun 1, 2026
1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $59.7M0 bettorsEnds Dec 31, 2026
17%
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $55.9M0 bettorsEnds Jun 1, 2026
1%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $54.6M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $54.3M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $52.7M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $50.3M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $48.7M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $44.5M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $44.4M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $44.2M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $43.9M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $43.7M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $43.4M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $43.1M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $43.0M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $42.8M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $42.7M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $42.3M0 bettorsEnds Nov 7, 2028
0%
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
PolymarketgeopoliticsVol: $41.4M0 bettorsEnds Jun 1, 2026
0%

Browse by Domain

8 domains
geopolitics177 markets
1%Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
17%Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1%Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
0%Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+173 more markets
crypto9 markets
7%Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
21%Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
9%Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
92%Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs
+5 more markets
economics6 markets
1%Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
66%Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
34%Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
0%Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
+2 more markets
health4 markets
36%Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic
100%Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
0%Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
100%Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina
ai1 market
4%Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
tech1 market
27%In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
policy1 market
19%Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
science1 market
8%Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Recently Resolved

Last 10 resolved
YES
US Open, Qualification WTA: Completed Match: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Katarzyna Kawa
YES
Set 2 Winner: Gorgodze vs Kawa
YES
Gorgodze vs. Kawa: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
NO
Set 1 Winner: Gorgodze vs Kawa
YES
Ekaterine Gorgodze vs. Katarzyna Kawa: Total Sets O/U 2.5
NO
Set Handicap: Gorgodze (-1.5) vs Kawa (+1.5)
YES
Gorgodze vs. Kawa: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
YES
Gorgodze vs. Kawa: Match O/U 21.5
NO
Set Handicap: Kawa (-1.5) vs Gorgodze (+1.5)
YES
Gorgodze vs. Kawa: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5

Market data is sourced from public APIs and third-party prediction platforms. Prices and probabilities are indicative only and are not financial advice.